Sam's Commentary

January 06, 2014 Commentary Archive

FSU vs. Team of Destiny

by Sam Kouvaris
Posted January 06, 2014 ===========================================================================

There are only a couple of questions about tonight's outcome of the National Championship game between FSU and Auburn. If you just look at how the two teams got here, it's easy to pick FSU to win going away. The Seminoles won every game by double digits and scored more than 40 points almost every Saturday.

"Our best game is still out there," Head Coach Jimbo Fisher scarily told the assembled media this week.

If that's true, the Seminoles could already be considered one of the best teams in college football history. But they have some flaws, at least statistically. FSU has given up a lot of yards through the air. Some of that is scheme, as they try to pressure the quarterback and play man-to-man behind it. Some of it is that they've been ahead so easily and so early that other teams had no choice but to throw the ball.

But some if it comes from risk-taking and giving up the big play.

That's where Auburn might have a chance to take advantage of the Seminole's style.

The Tigers have speed and deception on offense, something that will give the 'Noles difficulty early on. "We don't call them trick plays," Auburn Head Coach Gus Malzahn said when asked about his play calling.

"The players call them special plays."

Misdirection, reverses, speed to the edge, all of that is what the Tigers have lived on this year. They'll score some points, particularly early, and they'll need to against a potent FSU offense.

Florida State will score points, no question. With their Heisman winning quarterback Jameis Winston throwing it to NFL-quality wide receivers, an all-American tight end and three running backs rotating to stay fresh, they'll be able to do what they want on offense.

Auburn will have the same success early in the game and it will look like a contest at halftime.

In the second half, that's where the Seminoles will continue to score and their defensive speed will start to shut down the Tigers. They'll wear on Auburn and continue to relentlessly drive the ball on offense. But the final whistle, it'll be another double-digit win by FSU, something like 37-24.

Having said that, remember that Auburn had a couple of miracles to get to this game, the "Prayer at Jordan-Hare" and the kick return in the Iron Bowl that nobody expected. They do have a bit of destiny on their side so a couple of turnovers and another small miracle could change this game completely.

Commentary by Sam Kouvaris

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ARCHIVE of The College Weekly Report

01-05-2014 - Fisher/Malzahn, FSU/Auburn Contrast in Style
01-05-2014 - FSU A Close-Knit Group
01-02-2014 - Jaguars Talking Vs. Doing:
Does Bradley's "Conviction" Mean Jaguars Wins Are On The Way?
12-29-2013 - Decisions to Make: Jaguars Need A Lot
12-23-2013 - Meester's Day
12-22-2013 - Jaguars Don't Have Enough
12-20-2013 - Jaguars: Who Wants To Be Here?
12-19-2013 - Meeter Retires: The REAL Pride of the Jaguars
12-15-2013 - Jaguars: Three Forward One Back
12-06-2013 - Jaguars Beat Texans Again: Learning How to Win
12-01-2013 - Florida/FSU: Different Directions?
11-18-2013 - Jaguars 2nd Half: "Better But Not Good"
11-14-2013 - Locker Room Culture: Off Limits?
11-10-2013 - Jaguars Victory: A Lot More Than Just One Win
11-03-2013 - Do We Worry About Blackmon?
11-02-2013 - Florida/Georgia: It's Never Easy
10-27-2013 - Jaguars in London: Fun & Frustration:Equal Parts of Both
10-26-2013 - Jacksonville's on a Global Stage
10-25-2013 - Shad Khan "Living The Dream"
10-03-2013 - Jaguars Building for the "Distant" Future
09-30-2013 - Jaguars: Not Getting Better Soon
09-23-2013 - Jaguars Results Not Unexpected
09-17-2013 - Jaguars Ups and Downs
09-10-2013 - Not What They Were Expecting
09-07-2013 - Jaguars Give Reason For Hope
08-25-2013 - "Better and Improved": The Jaguars Buzzwords
08-21-2013 - Jaguars 2013: It's Not About Winning
08-12-2013 - Jaguars Assessment: Is "Not Terrible" Fair?
08-01-2013 - Jaguars Camp: No Surprises But Not Routine
07-26-2013 - Gus Bradley's First Camp: "Slow Down!"
07-20-2013 - Big Thinking Khan Style
06-20-2013 - Its Summer, It's Hot, No Kidding!
05-31-2013 - The Ever Expanding "Season"
05-15-2013 - The Players: One Of A Kind
05-01-2013 - Tiger At The Players
05-08-2013 - Jaguars Needs: Everything
04-03-2013 - Golf in North Florida: It is & isn't all about The Players
01-30-2013 - Players Win Games

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